2016年2月15日星期一

Who Restricting the market of Chinese PV application? 1-3

When the photovoltaic industry gradually fiery tide currently, every photovoltaic people should calm down, to think in the end what is restricting the development of China PV industry? How should we get rid of the shackles of industry, market checks and balances to break again to lead the Chinese PV industry go the stable development of the world?

The High cost of solar generator

Another effect of the low price of distributed PV application market to expand state support policy is simple. China's current policy of limited tariff photovoltaic mode, user self-occupied part of the government to give a certain amount of subsidies, balance access some high-priced acquisitions. Expand the market heavily dependent on state subsidies, not by spontaneous market forces. Some US, and European countries due to the mouth of the residential electricity prices high, you can use a range of diverse and innovative support policies, so that the civilian Photovoltaic market is growing rapidly. The same policy in our country due to the low price of residential electricity can’t be generalized.


Because of China's PV industry overcapacity, the exportation was exported by Europe market disruption, technological advances and so on, in recent years the cost of photovoltaic solar backup generator construction has shown a sharp decline (currently the initial investment cost of photovoltaic power generation is about 10,000 yuan/kilowatt photovoltaic power generation costs about 0.8 yuan/kWh, the cost was low. although already close to the limit and is based on the photovoltaic industry across the board over the loss, but in terms of cost of backup power generator, photovoltaic power generation and other new forms of energy and hydropower, nuclear power and wind power and other phase than no advantage at all, with conventional thermal power comparison is far more in terms of initial investment cost, but also lower than the only nuclear power. Therefore, the photovoltaic power generation is not getting widely used in our lives, in the final analysis is due to the high cost.

High initial investment cost of photovoltaic solar energy storage, beyond the capacity of most families, restraining effect on the promotion of distributed PV in particular. Household electricity to three of, for example, to build a power generation capacity of eight kilowatts of photovoltaic power plant is enough common electrical outlet, the initial investment cost is 80,000yuan. If the current of a family's annual electricity costs 3000yuan terms, 8 kilowatts of photovoltaic power plants of self-occupied for at least 20 years to recover the cost, if coupled with subsidies on 0.42 yuan/watt, the actual recovery period is also more than 10 years, and this calculation based on the ideal state and does not take into account the maintenance and parts replacement details. High investment and long payback period so that ordinary Chinese people certainly do not want a one-time tariff for their ten years of pay.



Other because of residential electricity tariff low

The current average price of residential electricity consumption of 0.57yuan/kWh low, so that people do not have the enthusiasm of distributed PV systems. Compared with photovoltaic grid solar system, power grid residents to purchase much more cost effective.

The residential electricity prices in developed market economy countries like Europe and USA with the recent two or three decades of rising solar generator energy prices gradually rise. Such as the UK in 2013 residential electricity prices of 21.2 cents/kWh, and electricity prices compared to the year 2000, up more than tripled. America, too, the 2000 national residential electricity prices an average of 8.2 cents/kWh, by 2013 the average price had risen to 18 cents/kWh, or mucho larger. In contrast, China's price in 2000--2013 years, only 0.335 yuan per unit rose to 0.57 yuan.

The ultimate goal is the development of distributed photovoltaic households. And because the population is below the price of both commercial and industrial electricity prices, also lower than the average price, making our country is difficult to achieve a breakthrough in the civilian aspects of the PV market. And our difference is that foreign residents generally industrial electricity price of 1.5 times to 2 times, residents distributed photovoltaic installation is very active in these countries to develop civilian PV market is much easier than in China.

Low price is the promotion of distributed PV fatal weakness, because the competitiveness of photovoltaic backup power generator projects are always based on existing tariffs as a comparison basis, the lower the price of photovoltaic power generation becomes more expensive, more distant from affordable Internet access, which is also the same reason the cost of photovoltaic solar power kit off grid in different countries to promote the big difficulty is not the same.

Another effect of the low price of distributed PV application market to expand state support policy is simple. China's current policy of limited tariff photovoltaic mode, user self-occupied part of the government to give a certain amount of subsidies, balance access some high-priced acquisitions. Expand the market heavily dependent on state subsidies, not by spontaneous market forces. Some US, and European countries due to the mouth of the residential electricity prices high, you can use a range of diverse and innovative support policies, so that the civilian Photovoltaic market is growing rapidly. The same policy in our country due to the low price of residential electricity can’t be generalized.

Distributed PV investors face many obstacles

According to the China National Development and Reform Commission in August 2013 30 issued a “Notice of price leverage role in promoting the healthy development of photovoltaic industry" provides the standard price subsidies distributed photovoltaic solar energy storage project was 0.42yuan/kWh subsidy standard implementation deadline in principle 20 years. Click to calculate the amount of subsidies, ROI theoretically most provinces distributed photovoltaic power plants can reach 12% to 15% return on investment is very impressive. But the investment enthusiasm of solar generator investors has not been inspired, very few number of distributed PV power plant construction, didn’t see signs of large-scale development. One reason is that a large amount of investment distributed power station, returns to investors insecurity, faces many obstacles to investment.

Since the residential solar electric generator tariff is low, our focus on the development of distributed photovoltaic systems business-intensive regions. At present, China industrial and commercial electricity tariff of about 1 to 1.5 yuan/kwh, the development of distributed PV systems in these areas, although a good deal, but faced with the following question. First of all, in 25 years of operating PV system cycle power stations can’t be determined by how many companies sell, how much to sell the grid. Power companies sell than to sell cost-effective, but the power grid to sell than to sell enterprise security, earnings power plant can’t be determined.


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